Good evening and welcome to the official MABW forecast. The new universal day will be upon us in another 25 minutes, that wonderful time I used to call DISCOVR rollover, when the satellite feed updated and All Was Known. Well, in that hour, anyway.
What we do know is that it’s cloudy. We also know that I am about incapable of determining the difference between .gov and .com, which may be more of an allegorical statement than a nod toward my temper. I am going to have to go to weather.gov, not weather.com. But, actually, I don’t have to do that. Because most of us around these parts can tell you that what we have here is some tropical stuff and it’s probably going to hang around for a few days. BUT at one point today, the sky magically cleared out within minutes, and was entirely blue for an hour. I will hazard a guess that this could happen again, so, since this weather system is going to be affected a lot by Canadian high pressure – and honestly, Canadian high pressure is a good thing- we could get lucky.
Now, why have I told you all this? Because NOAA has issued a storm watch. If you get solar activity alerts, you will have noticed that there has been activity over the past couple days. Here’s NOAAs actual update:
G2 (Moderate) Geomagnetic Storm Watch 16 Oct
published: Tuesday, October 14, 2025 19:51 UTC
Isolated G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm activity is likely by late on 16 Oct with the arrival of CMEs that left the Sun over the course of 11-13 Oct. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm activity is likely to carry on into 17 Oct with possible additional CME effects on the near-Earth environment.
So, what we need is alignment with the earth’s poles, no clouds, and good luck for sustained and strong arriving solar wind.
We’ll just have to see if we hit it on any of those fronts. Going to weather.gov isn’t so bad because I found the forecast discussion. It’s still happening. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CAR…